Buy Low or Sell High? The Impact of Aaron Rodgers’ Injury on Garrett …

The Impact of Aaron Rodgers’ Absence on Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall’s Fantasy Football Outlook

Garrett Wilson’s Fantasy Football Outlook without Aaron Rodgers

Garrett Wilson had a fantastic rookie campaign, finishing as the WR19 overall in half-point PPR leagues. However, in terms of fantasy points per game, he was only WR31. Wilson showcased his potential by turning 147 targets into 83 catches, 1,103 yards, and four touchdowns. There were high hopes for Wilson’s scoring to increase significantly with Aaron Rodgers as his quarterback. It was thought that Wilson pushing toward 100 catches and 10 touchdowns would solidify him as a WR1.

Unfortunately, with Rodgers no longer leading the Jets’ offense, it is challenging to project Wilson as a top-12 receiver. However, a top-20 finish is still within reach if he receives high-leverage targets as a constant scoring threat. While his catch and yardage totals may decrease due to the Jets leaning more on the running game, Wilson will remain a valuable fantasy asset on a weekly basis. Therefore, fantasy managers can expect WR2 numbers and a top-20 finish in both overall and average scoring.

Considering the potential decrease in production, Wilson could be a buy-low candidate if his owners are too pessimistic about his prospects following Rodgers’ injury.

Breece Hall’s Fantasy Football Outlook without Aaron Rodgers

Breece Hall was the RB7 in terms of average scoring as a rookie in half-point PPR leagues, but he finished as the overall RB42 after playing just seven games. However, Hall showed no signs of lingering effects from his torn ACL on Monday night, exploding for 127 rushing yards on only 10 carries. This included an 83-yard burst that showcased his playmaking ability with Zach Wilson at the helm. While Rodgers was still the quarterback, Hall displayed his speed by rumbling for 26 yards on the Jets’ first offensive play. He also added one catch for 20 yards on two targets.

Despite Dalvin Cook receiving more volume in the opening game with 16 touches, he looked rather ordinary, managing just 58 scrimmage yards, less than half of Hall’s total. It is worth noting that the Jets intended to bring Hall along slowly to avoid overworking him early on. The team had to be thrilled to see him return to his big-play speed from his rookie season. Hall’s versatility and ability to make big plays mean he doesn’t necessarily require a heavy workload to put up impressive fantasy numbers. Moreover, with the potential for touchdowns, Hall and Wilson will likely compete to see who can find the end zone more often for the Jets in 2023.

Given Hall’s potential and his ability to contribute both as a rusher and receiver, he appears to be a steal in fantasy drafts, especially in PPR-leaning leagues. Despite some uncertainty about the workload, Hall has the makings of an RB1. As a result, fantasy managers should consider buying low on Hall if they have the opportunity.

Editorial Commentary

The absence of Aaron Rodgers from the Jets’ offense has undoubtedly affected the fantasy outlooks of both Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. While Wilson may see a decrease in his catch and yardage totals, he should still provide consistent fantasy production as a weekly WR2 option. On the other hand, Hall’s big-play ability and versatility make him an exciting RB1 prospect despite potential concerns about his workload. Hall’s explosiveness and playmaking skills should continue to make him a valuable asset for fantasy managers.

It is not surprising that Wilson’s fantasy outlook takes a slight hit without a proven veteran quarterback like Rodgers, as quarterback-play often has a significant impact on receiver production. However, Wilson’s exceptional rookie season suggests that he has the talent to succeed regardless of who is under center. Fantasy managers should not panic and should view Wilson as a consistent contributor in their lineups.

In the case of Breece Hall, his performance in the Jets’ first game of the season showcased his ability to make a substantial impact on limited touches. Hall’s big-play potential and the expectation of increased opportunities should excite fantasy managers. As long as he remains healthy, there is a strong chance that Hall can deliver RB1 numbers throughout the season.

It is important for fantasy managers to recognize that roster adjustments are an integral part of the game. While Rodgers’ absence may pose some challenges for Wilson in terms of stat-padding, fantasy success is not solely reliant on a single player. The key to achieving success in fantasy football lies in drafting a balanced team and making shrewd additions via trades and waiver wire pickups throughout the season.

Advice for Fantasy Managers

1.

Assess the Trade Market

It might be worth exploring the trade market to acquire Garrett Wilson, who is now undervalued due to Rodgers’ injury. Look for managers who are pessimistic about his prospects and capitalize on the opportunity to buy low. Wilson’s talent and potential for consistent production still make him a valuable addition to any fantasy team.

2.

Bet on Breece Hall’s Upside

Breece Hall’s explosive performance in his first game back following an ACL tear should excite fantasy managers. With his big-play ability and versatility, Hall has the potential to be a steal in fantasy drafts. Consider targeting him in PPR-leaning leagues, where his contributions as a receiver add extra value. Look to acquire him through trades or draft him early to secure a potentially high-scoring RB1.

3.

Stay Active on the Waiver Wire

As the season progresses, keep an eye on the waiver wire for potential breakout players who can fill the void left by Aaron Rodgers’ absence. Monitor the performance of under-the-radar receivers who may see increased targets with the Jets’ new quarterback, Zach Wilson, and keep an eye on the backup running backs who could see an uptick in touches if Hall’s workload remains limited. Making active roster adjustments throughout the season is crucial for maximizing fantasy success.

4.

Don’t Panic

While the absence of Aaron Rodgers may initially seem concerning, it’s important not to overreact and panic. Fantasy football is a game of adjustments, and the success of your team depends on your ability to adapt. Rely on your draft strategy, analyze matchups, and make smart decisions based on the available information. Remember that the absence of one player does not define your entire team’s chances of success.

In summary, the fantasy outlook for Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall has been impacted by Aaron Rodgers’ absence on the Jets’ offense. While Wilson may experience a slight decrease in production, he remains a reliable WR2 option. Meanwhile, Hall’s big-play ability and versatility make him an exciting RB1 prospect. Fantasy managers should consider taking advantage of the opportunity to acquire Wilson at a discounted price and bet on Hall’s upside. Additionally, staying active on the waiver wire and making well-informed roster adjustments will be key to maximizing fantasy success throughout the season.